Introduction
The Syrian civil war has progressed for about six years now. There have been various adverse effects of the war. Hundreds of thousands have been killed, more than a million injured and tens of millions have fled the country. The war is yet to end, and more effects to the citizen should be expected (Schmid, 2015). This paper will evaluate the repercussions that would result if the United States government was to intervene in the war as Russian government did. The paper will also evaluate a comparative analysis on the impact of war the international security if ISIS wins the war.
Repercussions if the United States were to intervene in the war as Russia did
The Russian government intervened in the Syrian war, and the main aim was to fight the rebel groups (Cotton, 2015). Russia’s main target was to eliminate the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS). Therefore, it sided with the Syrian government and would from time to time offer help to the Syrian military. Also, the Russian military was involved directly in the fight against ISIS and other rebel groups in Syria (Cotton, 2015). A lot of bombings targeting towards the rebel groups was done by the Russian military. As a result of this fight, many innocent citizens have lost their lives, and others seriously injured (Cotton, 2015). If the U.S. intervenes in the war as Russia did, the more severe effect would happen. The state of the war would escalate, and more people would die in the war. The U.S. government has never sided with any of the parties involved in the fight, and there role is to control the situation. Russia and U.S. being rivals, there would be a possibility of the forces from these two countries to fight each other in Syria. The situation would become worse and could even trigger global war (Cotton, 2015).
What if ISIS won in the Syrian Civil War?
ISIS has grown to become even a bigger organization since it was founded. The involvement of ISIS in the Syrian civil war has a great impact on all other parties involved, and the war itself (Schmid, 2015). Despite being fought against by global military giants like Russia and, partly, by the U.S., the group is yet to be defeated. It seems strong, and the probability of ISIS winning this civil war is something that cannot be simply overlooked (Shroder, 2015). The international community is always guessing what would happen if ISIS wins finally.
If ISIS won, the most probable thing would be the establishment of a nation that would be based on the Islamic religion (Schmid, 2015). This organization has had a history rich in brutal activities that are so worrying against all people, Muslims included. In fact, everyone would feel insecure if this group wins the fight. The possibility of ISIS propagating the same brutality is there, and this is a threat to all people.
On winning, ISIS would feel more confident and would attempt to expand to other countries. The target would be other Islamic countries, and this would trigger a fight in large part of the Middle East. This would be widespread than the current Syrian war, and it would last longer (Shroder, 2015). More people would die, be injured or otherwise affected, and the whole Arab world would be in a crisis.
The highest threat to security would happen if the ISIS decided to retaliate against those who are currently fighting against them. This would make them even recruit terrorist groups, and together, stage attacks on their enemies. These attacks would be unending and would be aimed anywhere (Shroder, 2015). The peace and security of the world would be highly polarized.
Conclusion
The Syrian civil war continues despite major powers’ intervention. Perhaps now is the time for these powers to join hands and fight jointly. This would increase their chance of winning. Otherwise, they would be affected greatly if ISIS wins the fight.
References
Cotton, T. (2015, December 1). Proxy wars. Retrieved January 31, 2017, from Foreign Affairs, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/syria/2015-11-24/proxy-wars
Schmid, A. P. (2015). Challenging the Narrative of the Islamic State. The Hague: International Centre for Counter-Terrorism, 1-19.
Shroder, L. (2015, September 16). What if the Islamic state won? Retrieved January 31, 2017, from https://news.vice.com/article/what-if-the-islamic-state-won
