Introduction
The series of recessions that have occurred in the past decades have raised several questions about the effectiveness of the various existing measures of recession, some of which use a comprehensive set of indicators. A number of analysts have stressed that financial market indicators provide a more effective predictions about recession. In this respect the predictive capacity of the bond yield curve have received much attention in recent times. The current discussion sheds some light on the predictive capacity of the yield curve and the associated term spread. Current scenario is studied in terms of the yield curve obtained from present ...