Executive Summary 3
Introduction 4 Decision Making 4 Decision Table 4 Figure 1. Decision table 5
Decision Making Under Uncertainty 5
Figure 2. Uncertainty decision 5
Optimistic 5
Pessimistic 5 Criterion of Realism 6 Equally Likely 6 Minimax Regret 6 Expected Monetary Value 7 Figure 3. EMV when no additional information was gathered 7 Figure 4. EMV with a favorable result from the additional information 8 Figure 5. EMV with an unfavorable result from the additional information 8 Figure 6. EMV from the additional information 9 Conclusion and Recommendation 9
References 10
Appendices 11 Analytical Experience and Plans 13 Executive Summary Management decisions have always been considered a difficult task especially ...