Essays on Expected Value

Abstract

Decision-making under risk occurs when there is an uncertainty about the states of nature that can occur, but the probabilities of each of the states of nature occurring have already been determined. We can use these probabilities to determine additional strategies for decision-making. One such strategy is the Expected Monetary Value (EMV) approach for making an optimal decision. In the problem where the company had to decide on the right investment approach, the company had already done research to determine the various possible states of nature for each of the alternatives as well the probabilities of each of these ...

Summary of Thinking, fast, and slow by Daniel Kahneman

George Mason University Summary of Thinking, fast, and slow by Daniel Kahneman Introduction The author, Daniel Kahneman, hopes that the readers would benefit from the reading of his book, which is about biases of intuition. According to the author, it can be a tough choice between what we believe and what we want. Friends and colleagues help us in making and evaluating choices. The thinking process is one conscious thought leading to another. The mental work creates impressions and intuitions silently in our minds. We allow our beliefs, feelings and preferences to feel confident about our decision, even if ...

Finance

Executive Summary With growing concerns related to climate change, the farming profession is exposing the farmers to significant risk of low yields or other crop related failure. Moreover, with weather trend highly unpredictable, farmers always live under the cloud of high uncertainty relating to their livelihood. Therefore, farmers are understanding the significance of crop insurance and how these contracts mitigate the risk factor associated with the farming profession. Important to note, American farmers have two insurance options: Multiple Peril Crop Insurance(MPCI) and Crop-Hail Insurance. While the MPCI is a federal crop insurance program and is run through public-private ...

Answer ot question #1: Not provided as we agreed to check it by yourself.

Answer to question #2: B Explanation: Expected return and mean return are completely two different concepts. Expected return is the weighted average of the possible returns, where the weights correspond to probabilities. In contrast, mean return is the average of all of the historical returns over a particular time period. So the statement B is not correct.

Answer to question #3: A

Answer to question #4: B Explanation: Dividend yield is the return on investment in the form of dividend. It measures the dividend income earned for each dollar invested. Here General Electric Company stock was purchased at the price of S14.64 on ...