Essays on Laplace

Executive Summary 3

Introduction 4 Decision Making 4 Decision Table 4 Figure 1. Decision table 5

Decision Making Under Uncertainty 5

Figure 2. Uncertainty decision 5

Optimistic 5

Pessimistic 5 Criterion of Realism 6 Equally Likely 6 Minimax Regret 6 Expected Monetary Value 7 Figure 3. EMV when no additional information was gathered 7 Figure 4. EMV with a favorable result from the additional information 8 Figure 5. EMV with an unfavorable result from the additional information 8 Figure 6. EMV from the additional information 9 Conclusion and Recommendation 9

References 10

Appendices 11 Analytical Experience and Plans 13 Executive Summary Management decisions have always been considered a difficult task especially ...

Introduction

The very title of this article may seem to some readers fantastic. Is there any evidence that alien beings exist? Can we prove that there is no clear scientific argument in favor of their life and activity? Such questions immediately arise among readers, of course, they are quite natural. And yet, I will try to show that the statement of the problem in our time of exclusively rapid scientific and technical progress is quite logic. Moreover, most recently the first steps towards the solution of this great problem facing mankind were taken. Basically, from the scientific point of view ...

List of Figures

Figure 1. Class notes 4 Figure 2. (Earthobservatory.nasa.gov, 2016) 7 Figure 3. (Earthobservatory.nasa.gov, 2016) 8

Introduction

Seasons are caused by tilting of the earth around its navigational plane known as the orbit around the sun. Climate change involves the northern hemisphere and the southern hemisphere. When the earth is in the Southern and Northern hemisphere means that the season is at summer. Changes in the tilt of the earth lead to changes in the severity of the seasons, for example when there is more tilt leads to more severe seasons including warmer summers and colder winter and when the tilt ...